The Political Business Cycle in Ontario: An Empirical Analysis of Financial and Demographic Data Across Medium to Large-Sized Ontario Municipalities

Author

Robert McGarva, Western University

Date of Award

7-1-2010

Degree Type

Major Research Paper

Degree Name

Master of Public Administration

Program

Political Science

Supervisor

Cobban, Tim

Geographical Areas

Ontario

Abstract

This paper examines whether there was a political business cycle in Ontario municipalities from 2000 to 2006. An analysis of the top 70 lower- or single-tier municipalities by population was conducted based on financial and employment data obtained from the Ontario Financial Information Return and Municipal Performance Measurement Program websites, in addition to Statistics Canada. The findings reveal that there is weak evidence for the existence of a political business cycle in Ontario municipalities between 2000 and 2006.

Recommended Citation

McGarva, Robert, "The Political Business Cycle in Ontario: An Empirical Analysis of Financial and Demographic Data Across Medium to Large-Sized Ontario Municipalities" (2010). MPA Major Research Papers. 88.
https://ir.lib.uwo.ca/lgp-mrps/88