Electronic Thesis and Dissertation Repository

Thesis Format

Monograph

Degree

Master of Arts

Program

Geography

Supervisor

Buzzelli Michael

Abstract

This thesis examines the spatial distribution of Canadian postsecondary graduates, focusing on tax years 2016 and 2019, using data from the Postsecondary Student Information System and the T1 Family File. The study tracks the movement and retention of graduates from the 2013-2015 cohorts, analysing thirteen Census Metropolitan Areas (CMAs) with significant graduate populations. Major cities like Toronto, Montreal, and Vancouver attract and retain the most graduates, while intra-provincial mobility is notable within Alberta between Calgary and Edmonton. Ontario cities show strong interconnections around Toronto. The study supports Richard Florida's theory of the creative class, highlighting the economic importance of retaining skilled labour for regional prosperity. Most graduates stay in their study locations, with larger urban centers having higher retention rates. The distance decay factor significantly influences migration choices. This thesis provides valuable insights for urban planning and regional economic development in Canada.

Summary for Lay Audience

This thesis examines the migration patterns of Canadian postsecondary graduates upon completion of their studies, with a specific focus on their retention patterns. The research endeavours to analyse data from tax years 2016 and 2019 pertaining to graduates from the years 2013, 2014, and 2015, with the objective of comprehending trends in the geographical preferences of where graduates choose to live and work.

The key findings indicate that major urban centres such as Toronto, Montreal, and Vancouver are the preferred destinations for graduates to reside in or relocate to. These cities provide a multitude of employment prospects and dynamic lives, rendering them appealing to young professionals. Nevertheless, significant interprovincial migration occurs, particularly in Alberta between Calgary and Edmonton, as well as inside Ontario with strong movements around Toronto.

The study highlights the significance of retaining highly trained graduates to foster regional economic growth. Cities that are able to retain their graduates experience the advantages of having a highly educated labour force, resulting in increased salaries and improved economic circumstances. This is consistent with the idea that regions with a higher concentration of educated and innovative individuals tend to have more economic prosperity.

Curiously, the majority of graduates have a tendency to stay in the location where they pursued their studies. The closer the new job opportunities are to their original location, the more likely they are to move there. This pattern, known as the "distance decay factor," shows that distance plays a big role in graduates’ decisions to move.

In general, the thesis sheds light on the influence of graduates' decisions regarding their residential and occupational choices on various regions in Canada. This knowledge is vital for policy makers and city planners who seek to establish environments that effectively attract and retain young talent, hence enhancing local economies.

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