Date of Award

2008

Degree Type

Thesis

Degree Name

Master of Science

Program

Epidemiology and Biostatistics

Abstract

Rationale: Graduated Licensing (GLS) is a program of gradual driving exposure during the first two years of a novice driver’s experience. This proposal introduces a program model by which GLS could be comprehensively evaluated. Methods: A program logic / conceptual framework model was developed, whereby GLS can be evaluated using five steps. First, program implementation was evaluated using focus group methodology. Second and third, knowledge acquisition and resultant driving behaviour were evaluated using data from the Mann et al. and OSDUS surveys. Fourth, ARIMA time series analysis is proposed to evaluate the impact of GLS on both collisions and lastly on young driver injuries. Results: Pilot data suggest that young drivers are aware of GLS restrictions but do not feel deterred from contravention. Students demonstrated an increase in knowledge about GLS but continued to contravene many GLS restrictions. Conclusions: This comprehensive evaluation may help policy makers improve the GLS program, to reduce young driver injuries and death.

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