Bone and Joint Institute

Machine Learning Predicts the Fall Risk of Total Hip Arthroplasty Patients Based on Wearable Sensor Instrumented Performance Tests

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Journal of Arthroplasty

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© 2020 Elsevier Inc. Background: The prevalence of falls affects the wellbeing of aging adults and places an economic burden on the healthcare system. Integration of wearable sensors into existing fall risk assessment tools enables objective data collection that describes the functional ability of patients. In this study, supervised machine learning was applied to sensor-derived metrics to predict the fall risk of patients following total hip arthroplasty. Methods: At preoperative, 2-week, and 6-week postoperative appointments, patients (n = 72) were instrumented with sensors while they performed the timed-up-and-go walking test. Preoperative and 2-week postoperative data were used to form the feature sets and 6-week total times were used as labels. Support vector machine and linear discriminant analysis classifier models were developed and tested on various combinations of feature sets and feature reduction schemes. Using a 10-fold leave-some-subjects-out testing scheme, the accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, and area under the receiver-operator curve (AUC) were evaluated for all models. Results: A high performance model (accuracy = 0.87, sensitivity = 0.97, specificity = 0.46, AUC = 0.82) was obtained with a support vector machine classifier using sensor-derived metrics from only the preoperative appointment. An overall improved performance (accuracy = 0.90, sensitivity = 0.93, specificity = 0.59, AUC = 0.88) was achieved with a linear discriminant analysis classifier when 2-week postoperative data were added to the preoperative data. Conclusion: The high accuracy of the fall risk prediction models is valuable for patients, clinicians, and the healthcare system. High-risk patients can implement preventative measures and low-risk patients can be directed to enhanced recovery care programs.

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