Date of Award
Major Research Paper
Master of Public Administration
This paper examines whether there was a political business cycle in Ontario municipalities from 2000 to 2006. An analysis of the top 70 lower- or single-tier municipalities by population was conducted based on financial and employment data obtained from the Ontario Financial Information Return and Municipal Performance Measurement Program websites, in addition to Statistics Canada. The findings reveal that there is weak evidence for the existence of a political business cycle in Ontario municipalities between 2000 and 2006.
McGarva, Robert, "The Political Business Cycle in Ontario: An Empirical Analysis of Financial and Demographic Data Across Medium to Large-Sized Ontario Municipalities" (2010). MPA Major Research Papers. 88.