Inspiring Minds seeks to broaden awareness and impact of graduate student research, while enhancing transferable skills. Students were challenged to describe their research, scholarship or creative activity in 150 or fewer words to share with our community.

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The lifetime of a fire, from its ignition to extinguishment, can be split into several key phases of interest. Past research has considered only one subcomponent of that lifetime; for example, the time it takes to attack a fire with resources to the time it’s declared under control. But this leaves a crucial gap – how does a fire progress through its many phases and how are these phases interrelated? My research investigates wildland fires located in the Ontario’s Northwest Fire Region. The progression of phases from ignition to under control are examined using statistical models that allow us to link these phases together. Various effects are accounted for, including seasonality, the type of fuel burning, and whether there are any “fire-specific” effects. Our goal is to identify and understand the factors that drive a fire’s progression through all the phases along with those that only influence certain phases.

Chelsea Uggenti
PhD candidate, Statistics and Actuarial Sciences (Environment and Sustainability)
Faculty of Science - Western University

Douglas Woolford
Charmaine Dean

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Chelsea is a PhD candidate and statistician with interests in environmental statistics, survival analysis, and statistical education. She received her MSc in Statistics from Western University in 2017 and her BA in Mathematics from Wilfrid Laurier University in 2016. She is greatly interested in collaborating with researchers from various fields, especially those interested in education.

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